Ranking the 0-1 Teams
Tier L-I: The "Yeah, Not Surprised" Trio
15.) Cleveland Browns = 0-1 (10-34)
14.) Tennessee Titans = 0-1 (10-23)
So yeah, none of these three were expected to be good - though I guess I should give a distinction between the Dolphins abd Browns, who are basically tanking (at least in roster construction) and the Titans, who really shouldn't be this bad with a #1 overall pick QB in year #2. For the Titans, you have to hope that was rock bottom, but looking utterly feckless at home against the Jets is a really bad showing. For the Dolphins and Browns, the reason I have the Dolphins as worse as they were more or less non-competitive against a perceived bad team (Raiders) instead of a perceived good one (Jaguars). I feel for Malik Willis, but I do think on the whole the Dolphins embracing a teardown is smart. For the Browns, maybe playing Watson is surreptitiously embracing the teardown...
Tier L-II: The "NFC South, Pt. 1" Duo
13.) Atlanta Falcons = 0-1 (13-20)
12.) Carolina Panthers = 0-1 (37-59)
It's funny that the NFC South all started 0-1. I put these two as worse because they were less competitive in their games. Hard to blame the Falcons, having to start Cooper Rush and you would hope when they have either Tua or Penix back there they look better, but it was shocking how they just effectiely gave up at any sort of passing offense. For the Panthers - it may turn out hte Bears do that to everyone this year, but that level of defense was dreadful and hides a quietly decent Bryce Young performance. I do worry Bryce does well enough to get his option picked up / signed long term when I still just don't think he is a viable long term option.
Tier L-III: The "Not Great, Bob" Duo
11.) Indianapolis Colts = 0-1 (23-41)
10.) Washington Commanders = 0-1 (22-24)
Both of these two should be seen as contenders to go ~.500 and maybe sneak their way into wild card considerations, but both looked far away from that. The Colts specifically so, but there is a chance the Ravens are the best team in teh NFL and that was a perfect storm type game. I also expected a bit of rust from Daniel Jones. The pass rush was actually OK, but in response their run defense and pass coverage was a disaster. For the Commanders, they were lucky to be in that game. The offense looks so out of rhythm and I don't think that is on Daniels. They've just invested in a mish-mash of pieces that don't really complement each other.
Tier L-IV: The "NFC South, Pt. 2" Duo
9.) New Orleans Saints = 0-1 (30-31)
8.) Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 0-1 (27-33)
There was some momentum on the Saints in a "hey, maybe they can win the NFC South" sort of way, and after that first game you have to take that talk a bit more serious. Tyler Shough is at the very least a live QB (unlike Rattler) and the Olave connection looks great. Falling behind 21-0 wasn't great, and the OL struggled, but that comeback in a tough environment showed a lot. For the Bucs, hard to make out were they just unlucky (fumbles) or did all the turnovers allow the Bengals to sleepwalk for much of that game and make the Bucs look better on a play-to-play basis? All the same problems as before - OL struggles, ball security, pass rush - showed themselves again.
Tier L-V: The "It Wasn't Supposed to Be This Way" Quadro
7.) Los Angeles Chargers = 0-1 (14-26)
6.) Dallas Cowboys = 0-1 (20-28)
5.) Green Bay Packers = 0-1 (22-39)
4.) New England Patriots = 0-1 (10-13)
4.) New England Patriots = 0-1 (10-13)
All foru of these teams had some levels of hype coming into the season, and all four fell on their face - yes, I am putting New England in that bucket for blowing a 10-0 lead to a backup, cold Drew Lock and Drake Maye seemingly playing worse than he was in the playoffs. For all four there is a chance this is just a "never take too much away from Week 1" type blip, but all four have a case where the questions about the team were highlighted badly. For the Chargers, it was their OL and the fact the defense may fall off without Jesse Minter, and both were plainly true in Week 1. For the Cowboys, it was the fact the defense may not be all that much better just because they shipped a few guys in and out, and at least in Week 1 it looked awful. For the Packers, it was their inability to close games and challenges to hold up on defense without Parsons over a 60 min game. And for the Patriots, that the real Drake Maye is closer to the playoffs poor performance than the regular season stout one. Again, all four of these may end up just fine (hence why I have them fairly high up) but those were all issues coming in that look more pronounced.
Tier L-VI: The "It Really Wasn't Supposed to Be This Way" Duo
3.) Denver Broncos = 0-1 (10-31)
2.) Los Angeles Rams = 0-1 (7-27)
In many ways, these two are like the last four in that they were expected to be good and had disasters - accented by Myles Garrett now being on IR. But to me these are the two most likely candidates for being games we wonder how it happened come Week 12 (granted, I think in both cases the teams that beat them are actually good, unlike say last year's example of hte Raiders beating the Patriots). For the Broncos, nothing worked - that was a 5th percentile performance for them, but you have to imagine the defense looks more like itself in games to come (maybe they didn't believe the Chiefs would lean THAT hard into the run), and I have to assume they'll find ways to use Waddle more. For the Rams, they have to hope they just royally fucked up the travel situation for that game. Forget the Garrett injury and the defense's underporfmance, the offense fully sleepwalked their way through it. Again, those two should burn the tape and move on.
Tier L-VII: The "There's a lot of Positives in That One" Uno
1.) Houston Texans = 0-1 (31-36)
There was an interesting discussion on I think the was the Athletic Football Show on if the Texans should be optimistic that their more questionable unit (offense) performed well, or pessimistic that their supposedly dominant unit (their defense) got lit up. Personally, I think the optimism should win here. There is no reason for the defense to suddenly be average - it's more likely the Bills had a 95th percentile performance, also got some 50/50 type balls (the Kincaid catch and Moore TD right before half), and even the best defenses often will have a game where they inexplicably get lit up (see what Tampa did in Seattle last year), and it may just so happen that for the Texans that happened in week 1. The other side had some change in personnel, in approach and largely did well. Stroud looked more confident and decisive than he has in years. They can build off of that.
Rankings the 1-0 Teams
Tier W-I: The "A Win's and Win, Baby!" Trio
16.) Las Vegas Raiders = 1-0 (27-13)
15.) Arizona Cardinals = 1-0 (26-14)
14.) Pittsburgh Steelers = 1-0 (20-13)
Ok, maybe it is harsh to say it, bit all three of these teams won but didn't look all that convincing against teams that are equally non-convincing. The Raiders aren't going to fool me after similarly winning Week 1 last year, and looking sluggish against probably the worst roster in the NFL. It was nice to see Ashton Jeanty get some room to breath for once. The Cardinals defense was good, but how much of that is the continued awfulness of the LA OL. Brissett also usually has an expiration point. Finally, for the Steelers, call me unconvinced by a win that required a pick-six by TJ Watt against a team starting Cooper Rush. Rodgers looks no less limited than last year, which given his age it shouldn't be a surprise.
Tier W-II: The "Summer of New York Continues" Duo
13.) New York Jets = 1-0 (23-10)
12.) New York Giants = 1-0 (28-20)
12.) New York Giants = 1-0 (28-20)
It's amazing this is the first time since 2009 that both teams won Week 1. Not only did they both win, tehy both one fairly convincingly. This low ranking within the 1-0 teams is less so about them than a general acknowledgement that there weren't all taht many upsets in Week 1. Anyway, for both this was a great foundation to build off of - particularly for the Giants who looks so in control. It is amazing what having a competent coach for once can do. The key for both might be their strong OLs continuing to do as such through the season. Certainly both units were great in Week 1.
Tier W-III: The "Maybe Papering Over Concerning Elements" Trio
11.) Minnesota Vikings = 1-0 (39-22)
10.) Cincinnati Bengals = 1-0 (33-27)
9.) Chicago Bears = 1-0 (59-37)
The Vikings biggest risk is if Murray is out long term, or maybe it is playing teams that won't combustively melt down on Flores ongoing blitz onslaught. That was a perfect storm for the Vikings in their 29-0 run to win the game. Not sure it is sustainable. For the Bengals, it's pretty easy to say taht four fumbles is not sustainable either. The offense looked a bit out of sync, but taht may just be do to the constant short fields and short drives. For the Bears, despite what Ben Johnson thinks, it is very unlikely they end up as the highest scoring team ever, and if not then their defense is still a serious concern. For all three, these are future problems.
Tier W-IV: The "Shouldn't We Feel Better About This" Trio
8.) Philadelphia Eagles = 1-0 (24-22)
7.) Kansas City Chiefs = 1-0 (31-10)
6.) Detroit Lions = 1-0 (31-30)
There's a bit of similar challenge with these three, even if the Chiefs point differential makes them a bit of an outlier with this trio. For the Eagles, the offense still looks a bit locked up, specifiaclly the passing offense. Not sure they look any worse without AJ Brown, but there was hope they look better and that isn't the case yet. For the Chiefs, it's probably the same area to focus in on - the passing offense still looks so impotent, despite having all the weapons there. The OL is maybe forcing Mahomes to get rid of the ball too quick, but he's still playing along with that. For the Lions, their ianbility to close that game out raises the same questions on their defense that were there coming into the season, including the lack of pass rush aside from Hutchinson and a thin secondary that can be taken advantage of.
Tier W-V: The "Just Solid Wins" Trio
5.) Buffalo Bills = 1-0 (36-31)
4.) Jacksonville Jaguars = 1-0 (34-10)
3.) San Francisco 49ers = 1-0 (27-7)
Hard to say any of these have too many significant worries. Yes, the Bills defense wasn't great, but they were going to be an offense first team and the offense looks great with Moore. The defense also continued to do the thing that helped them so much in the McDermott era - force turnovers. For the Jags and 49ers, it really is hard to complain. The Jaguars were good enough to rest everytone in the fourth quarter. Trevor Lawrence is continuing his great play from the end last season. He seems so more settled than usual. The 49ers are an interesting case because we've all assumed they'll get injured, we forgot to ask ourselves how good would this team be if they stay healthy? They are right now and looked great in that game, particularly a defense that everyone was slightly worried about. Fred Warner looks reborn. Also there is a chance Brock Purdy is just a Top-10 QB period and we're pretending that not to be the case for far too long now.
Tier W-VI: The "...Whispers.. They're Back" Uno
2.) Baltimore Ravens = 1-0 (41-23)
So, that went about as good as it could, aside from maybe the Flowers injury but it seems that isn't too serious. Lamar looked great, the weapons all look great, Henry is somehow still dominant and Minter has seemed to have unlocked this defense to something like it was in the McDonald days. The Ravens could be a juggernaut again, especially if the weapons can hold up and Lamar can stay as nimble as he looks now after spending a few years with niggling injuries. Scary, scary team.
Tier W-VII: The "The Champs" Uno
1.) Seattle Seahawks = 1-0 (13-10)
My rule as always is that the Champs stay the Champs until they lose, but man was it hard to justify this with not knowing for sure how long Darnold is out for. The offense did look quite poor under Drew Lock, but fairy enough. The defense looked as good as ever despite some injuries - honestly you an argue they were better in this game than the Super Bowl. The Seahawks defense is just a sight to behold and should keep them above water until Darnold gets back.
Looking Ahead to Next Week's Games
16.) Cleveland Browns (0-1) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1) (1:00 - FOX)
15.) Philadelphia Eagles (1-0) @ Tennessee Titans (0-1) (1:00 - FOX)
14.) Miami Dolphins (0-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (1-0) (4:25 - FOX)
14.) Miami Dolphins (0-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (1-0) (4:25 - FOX)
13.) Las Vegas Raiders (1-0) @ Los Angeles Chargers (0-1) (4:05 - CBS)
12.) Carolina Panthers (0-1) @ Atlanta Falcons (0-1) (1:00 - FOX)
11.) New Orleans Saints (0-1) @ Baltimore Ravens (1-0) (1:00 - CBS)
10.) Indianapolis Colts (0-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) (SNF - NBC)
9.) Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) @ Denver Broncos (0-1) (4:05 - CBS)
9.) Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0) @ Denver Broncos (0-1) (4:05 - CBS)
8.) Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) @ New England Patriots (0-1) (1:00 - CBS)
7.) Washington Commanders (0-1) @ Dallas Cowboys (0-1) (4:25 - FOX)
6.) Cincinnati Bengals (1-0) @ Houston Texans (0-1) (1:00 - CBS)
5.) Minnesota Vikings (1-0) @ Chicago Bears (1-0) (1:00 - FOX)
4.) Seattle Seahawks (1-0) @ Arizona Cardinals (1-0) (4:25 - FOX)
3.) Green Bay Packers (0-1) @ New York Jets (1-0) (1:00 - FOX)
2.) New York Giants (1-0) @ Los Angeles Rams (0-1) (MNF - ESPN)
1.) Detroit Lions (1-0) @ Buffalo Bills (1-0) (TNF - Prime)
























