Tier I - The "Man, the AFC Bad is Really Bad" Quadro
31.) Miami Dolphins = 1-6 (117-181)
30.) Indianapolis Colts = 2-6 (161-222)
29.) Tennessee Titans = 1-7 (144-199)
It's funny that the AFC is so stratfied. To be honest, the entire league is - there are a lot of 1/2/3 loss teams, and a bunch of 1/2 win teams. Not too much in between. Anyway, the Chargers are now even by point differential one of the worst teams in the league. We are way beyodn the point of assuming this is just a funk. This is a clean house, including maybe your broken QB, type of year. The Dolphins tried hard, the offense is finally getting some rhythm but that game just showed the lack of talent. The Colts are trying to be as simialrly untalented at this point - I can't believe they aren't benching Jones at this point. For the Titans, nice performance and a great sign for Cam Ward to have a few good games in a row, but the defense is broken when Amani Hooker is not intercepting passes.
Tier II - The "It's Starting to go South" Trio
28.) Philadelphia Eagles = 2-6 (137-202)
27.) New Orleans Saints = 2-5 (162-194)
26.) New York Jets = 2-6 (170-188)
The Eagles are broken. McKee is not useless and I do think as they get some of the missing talent back they can steal a few games, but also I do wonder if they just axe Sirianni at some point before the season ends, because otherwise not sure what the point of keeping him aroudn to maybe get them back on track without Hurst is? For the Saints and Jets, decent starts to the season have become fully undone at this point. The Jets defense has started to collapse which is really troubling since that was the one area that Glenn could point to. The Saints hopefully rested up a bit on their bye, and technically they got a bit closer to first place (just a game back) but I do think there is a separator between them and their other three NFC East compatriots.
Tier III - The "Another Lost Year....?" Uno
25.) Baltimore Ravens = 4-4 (179-203)
It's funny that they replaced Harbaugh and nothing really changed - teh defense is iffy and playing below the sum of their parts. The offense looks amazing when Lamar is in there, but he just isn't in there enough. Now he is missing at least four games and honestly, probably the season. If anything, hopefulyl this forces a bit more change in terms of the players. Something has to change, more than just Lamar staying healthy. This ranking is a reflection of where this team is assuming Lamar doesn't come back. However, even if he was there, not sure how much higher I would have them.
Tier IV - The "Somewhat Spoilers" Trio
24.) Washington Commanders = 2-4-1 (159-192)
23.) Arizona Cardinals = 3-5 (175-238)
22.) Cleveland Browns = 5-3 (139-173)
22.) Cleveland Browns = 5-3 (139-173)
21.) Las Vegas Raiders = 4-4 (221-230)
The Commanders needed to show out and just easily handle that Eagles team, and while the Eagles hung aroudn for a bit, the Commanders ability to put them away was impressive - at least in teh sense of this team being potentially lively in teh second half of the season. For teh Cardinals, great win and a nice Minshew performance, but let's be real he is no different than Brissett long term. The more exciting piece is how much better that offense looks without MHJ. For teh Browns, rough loss but not a shocking one. They were way over their heads at 5-2 against a soft schedule. The softness is largely over, but the defense is good enough to keep them in games. For the Raiders, nice showing by Kirk to push off any benching push, but that defense is still worrying in its inability to cover. Offense is good enough to hang around .500 for much of the year.
Tier V - The "Don't Know What To Do With You" Quadro
20.) Houston Texans = 2-5 (165-170)
19.) Atlanta Falcons = 3-5 (171-189)
18.) Dallas Cowboys = 3-5 (219-213)
17.) New York Giants = 4-2-1 (163-161)
There's a good chance this group includes one playoff team, and a decent chance it has two (Falcons). Hell, I wouldn't still be shocked if teh Texans close 8-2 and go 10-7 or something. Or they could all go to hell. The Texans hopefully figured some stuff out during their bye on why their defense has fallen off so much outside of Will Anderson. Similarly for the Giants, so curious to see how much of this JJ McCarthy renaissance is true (and him just leaving Minnesota), or how much was mirage. For the two in the middle - both had just dreadful losses. If anything, the Falcons is easy to just throw out and move on - the rain, the ridiculousness of the picsk. Granted, maybe stop the run... For the Cowboys, that was just a disaster and it seems this is basically no better than last years team. The only reason I have any faith in ranking them as high as I have is the NFC East is still winnable (2.5 games behind is tough though...).
Tier VI - The "Mess of the NFC South" Duo
16.) Carolina Panthers = 3-4 (178-193)
15.) Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 3-5 (178-151)
15.) Tampa Bay Buccaneers = 3-5 (178-151)
I guess these are still the two favorites in teh NFC South. What I'm looking for is that do we get a second straight sub-.500 division winner from the South. The Bucs probably have more upward momentum - for a team two games under .500, them having a +27 point differential is a good sign, and Mayfield has barely completed passes. Could be a cause for concern, I guess. The Panthers looked a bit overmatched in Green Bay, but the offense has a nice ryhthm overall. The DC firing was a bit odd though given how banged up they've been, especially at cornerback which used to be a strength.
Tier VII - The "Less of a Mess of the AFC North" Duo
14.) Cincinnati Bengals = 5-2 (206-158)
13.) Pittsburgh Steelers = 6-2 (180-144)
13.) Pittsburgh Steelers = 6-2 (180-144)
It's been a while since we had a Bengal v Steelers NFC North race. We had a few back in teh day - 2005, 2014, 2015, but not for a while. It was a fun rivalry - not Ravens v Steelers good, but not too far off at its peak. Anyway, both of these two are just generally quite good. This is the other problem of the league - too many teams that look genearlly good to very good right now. The Bengals defense is worrisome, and it would be nice for the Bengals offense not to take a half to wake up each game, but man when Burrow and Chase & Higgins are going they are awesome. For teh Steelers, the defense remains strong, the run game remains consistent and Rodgers is limiting mistakes (other than some bad bounce interceptions). They are generally just quite good.
Tier VIII - The "How Good Are They?" Trio
12.) Los Angeles Rams = 4-4 (194-168)
11.) New England Patriots = 5-3 (184-162)
10.) Green Bay Packers = 5-3 (171-164)
11.) New England Patriots = 5-3 (184-162)
10.) Green Bay Packers = 5-3 (171-164)
It's hard to rank these three, and to be honest you could easily argue to me the prior two taems (Bengals, Steelers) are better than these three. Certainly they have better recorrds and point differentials. Actually, I probably messed up. Anyway, all three teams played weaker opponents and won without too much stress. The Patriots took a half to wake up but were a bit unlucky in teh first half and dominated the second. The Rams a bit the same but the offense had its best game in a while. The Packers defense was stellar and looks upwardly mobile if Parsons does come back. It is troubling they have a tough time scoring more than 27 points in any given game.
Tier IX - The "How Good is a Defense" Trio
9.) Seattle Seahawks = 4-4 (185-159)
8.) Denver Broncos = 6-2 (172-165)
7.) Minnesota Vikings = 6-1 (140-93)
The Seahawks still seem so good down to down often, but if anything their offense was more worrisome than Caleb throwing a few lazers against the defense. The OL was rough and Darnold was awful against pressure most of the game. I still think they are a quite good team, but 4-4 in the NFC is rough given who tehy are up against for Wild Card spots. The Broncos defense hasn't been consistently amazing, but at its best it has been tremendous up front. They won that game with their pass rush late, and of course the ongoign drama of a Bo Nix offense being amazing in close games. Nix has thrown deep a bit more these last two weeks, so there is hope for teh future in that offense. For the Vikings, it was bound to happen. The defense remains strong, they were able to win most of their matchups against that offense. I do wonder if KOC feels any pressure to try Wentz again, or if there is a push to make a trade. At some point you have to try something, no? Kyler Murray is just not good enough and its wasting what still is on pace one of the best defenses of the decade.
Tier X - The "Panic of the Week" Uno
6.) Kansas City Chiefs = 5-2 (167-131)
I think people are being a bit too extremem on the Chiefs. Back to Back at Seattle and at Denver is tough. Yes, you wish they go 1-1, but if not for a confluence of things in this game (including that very iffy false start) they do anyway. The offense looked way better with Rashee Rice back - and yes I still do wish they went out and got someone. Their inability to run a QB sneak, or even get a TE to run them, is a problem.
5.) Detroit Lions = 5-2 (203-180)
4.) Buffalo Bills = 6-1 (233-181)
3.) Chicago Bears = 6-2 (214-160)
3.) Chicago Bears = 6-2 (214-160)
The Lions defense is really coming together (and quick prayer for Jack Campbell). The secondary looks good. The offense remains strong, including their more varied use of Jameson Williams this year. I may be a bit too high on them, but I can see them ahving an even stronger second half of the season, at least in overall play, than teh first. For teh Bills, a bit of a similar story, though of course it is impossible to take much from that game. The offense looked fine but also gets way too cute. They run tue Allen version of the tush push all the time, but then didn't in obvious situations a lot. In this season, their dominant offense may be good enough to paper over the defense. Beating the Seahawks in Seattle in prime time is one of the toughest accomplishments in the NFL. Doing it rather easily is even more impressive. Caleb and the offense once again looked excellent, but to me the revelation is the defense, and more than even the apss rush with Simmons, was the linebackers and speed of the defense overall. This is a complete team, and with Caleb back, a great team.
2.) Jacksonville Jaguars = 5-2 (196-111)
1.) San Francisco 49ers = 6-1 (197-139)
1.) San Francisco 49ers = 6-1 (197-139)
The Jags did what they should do - anhillate a team that is basically trying at this point. There was never a second where they didn't look like the dominant team. Lawrence and the offense were playing in half speed. The Texans loss remains a bit of a mystery, but to be honest the Jaguars have been the most dominant team down to down of any this year. Clean up the penalties, and this is to me the best team overall. I kept the 49ers #1 because it is hard not to when I had them there before their bye. I do hope they can get a few guys healthier, because at their best they have been excellent. Really nice top two teams - even if yes I wouldn't classify either as dominant. Then again, the 196-111 point differential after seven games is pretty damn good....
Looking Ahead to Next Week's Games








